Archive - Epoch AI

GDP and prosperity across technology paths

This essay is a compendium of an old hobby-horse of mine.

Published on Philosopher count • Aug 3

The Epoch Brief - July 31, 2026

Expanding FrontierMath: Open Problems, how "parallelizability" determines a technological singularity, the realities of AI energy use, and signs of AI…

Aug 1 • Elliot Stewart

July 2026

OpenAI accidentally hacked Hugging Face — should we have seen it coming?

Expert assessments and cyber benchmarks led us to expect that frontier models were capable of executing this kind of cyberattack

Jul 23 • Alexander Barry

The Epoch Brief - July 8, 2026

A board game AI can't master, a cyber-disclosure spike after Claude Mythos, GPT-4's record run atop the ECI, and what's missing from AI futurism…

Jul 8 • Elliot Stewart

The missing half of AI futurism debates

Why we should think a little harder about what it takes to build a Dyson Sphere

Jul 7 • JS Denain and Anson Ho

June 2026

The Epoch Brief - June 26, 2026

Our new long-horizon coding benchmark, hyperscaler cash flows, tracking AI R&D automation, and Chinese lab strategies

Jun 26 • Elliot Stewart

What we learned from 1,604 Chinese AI job postings

Inferring Chinese AI labs’ strategies from their job descriptions

Jun 24 • Cheryl Wu, JS Denain, and Anson Ho

Toward an O*NET for AI R&D

Proposing a new way to track AI research automation

Jun 17 • JS Denain, Joe Kwon, and Anson Ho

The Epoch Brief - June 12, 2026

Increased cyber vulnerability reports, Mythos' cyber hype, Fable 5's lead on FrontierMath v2, record-setting data centers, and what wealth distribution…

Jun 12 • Elliot Stewart

Are Mythos’ cyber capabilities overhyped?

Compiling all the public evidence on Mythos Preview’s cyber abilities

Jun 11 • Timothée Chauvin, Alexander Barry, JS Denain, and Anson Ho

Controlling the capital after AGI

A simple taxonomy of the main proposals for post-AGI universal redistribution

Jun 10 • Philip Trammell and Anson Ho

The Epoch Brief - June 1, 2026

How far open models lag the frontier, hyperscaler capex growth, and whether a compute crunch is nearing

Jun 1 • Epoch AI

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