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Can AI automate AI R&D yet?
Not yet, but it will claim otherwise
Oct 9
•
David Owen
and
Lynette Bye
47
6
6
The Epoch Brief - October 8, 2026
Plummeting AI costs, billions of agents, how Chinese labs make money, AI’s impact on behaviors, and our benchmark auditing initiative
Oct 8
•
Elliot Stewart
22
3
Hundreds of millions of AI agents are coming. Is there work for them?
The AI compute buildout could support more AI agents than the US has workers
Oct 2
•
Jason Li
and
Lynette Bye
38
19
3
September 2026
AI is getting cheaper faster than any other transformative technology
The price is falling 13x year over year
Sep 28
•
David Roodman
and
Lynette Bye
42
5
4
How far behind Nvidia is Huawei?
Huawei will substantially improve its AI compute solutions by 2030, but export controls constrain its most important scaling levers, making it unlikely…
Sep 24
•
Venkat Somala
and
Lynette Bye
26
4
The Epoch Brief - September 12, 2026
Huawei's long odds against Nvidia, the GDP growth we aren't measuring, GPT-6 Astra sets records, a new math benchmark, and more
Sep 12
•
Elliot Stewart
28
1
August 2026
An update on AI’s most important number
How quickly are Anthropic and OpenAI growing their revenue?
Aug 27
•
Josh You
and
Lynette Bye
62
3
9
The Nvidia-sized hole in US GDP statistics
GDP growth is understated by about 0.3 percentage points because of missing value from fabless chipmakers, primarily Nvidia.
Aug 24
•
Isabel Juniewicz
,
Philip Trammell
,
Daniel Carey
, and
Anson Ho
38
9 Big questions benchmarks can help answer
A good benchmark asks more than just “can AI do this specific task?”
Aug 14
•
Greg Burnham
47
4
3
Will financing bottleneck AI compute? An Anthropic case study
Why Anthropic's buildout suggests that financing is unlikely to be the immediate blocker to frontier AI compute growth.
Aug 13
•
Campbell Hutcheson
53
2
6
GDP and prosperity across technology paths
This essay is a compendium of an old hobby-horse of mine.
Published on Philosopher count
•
Aug 3
The Epoch Brief - July 31, 2026
Expanding FrontierMath: Open Problems, how "parallelizability" determines a technological singularity, the realities of AI energy use, and signs of AI…
Aug 1
•
Elliot Stewart
32
1
1
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