A heavily underappreciated dynamic when thinking about AI timelines.
Very interesting!
Lead time could be significantly reduced though, if AI companies figure out how to simply continue training their models, instead of restarting with extensive pretraining for each new model. (Happens in early 2027 in the AI 2027 scenario)
Very interesting!
Lead time could be significantly reduced though, if AI companies figure out how to simply continue training their models, instead of restarting with extensive pretraining for each new model. (Happens in early 2027 in the AI 2027 scenario)